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Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?

Resolves Oct 24, 2026

21%chance
▼ 31.0pt over 4d
0%50%100%Oct 19Oct 23

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?" at a 21% probability, down over the last 4d (-31 point change).

Volume (24h)
$15.3K
Total volume
$23K
Liquidity
$7.6K
All-time range
18% – 52%
Our history
4 days
Resolves
30h

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 22 12:00 PM ET to October 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 21% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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