MeleeMarkets Live
Polymarket Entertainment

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Resolves Oct 21, 2026

2%chance
▼ 23.8pt over 3d
0%50%100%Oct 17Oct 20

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?" at a 2% probability, down over the last 3d (-23.8 point change).

Volume (24h)
$12K
Total volume
$14.6K
Liquidity
$3.8K
All-time range
0% – 26%
Our history
3 days
Resolves
21h

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 19 12:00 PM ET to October 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 2% now. Pick the number you care about.

%
Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

View all