Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?" at a 6% probability, up over the last 16h (+1.4 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $6.7K
- Total volume
- $15.4K
- Liquidity
- $11K
- All-time range
- 4% – 8%
- Our history
- 42 hours
- Resolves
- 5d
How this resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.