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Set Handicap: Daniel Merida Aguilar (-1.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+1.5)

Resolves Nov 11, 2026

100%chance
▲ 50.0pt over 50m
0%50%100%Nov 2Nov 2

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Set Handicap: Daniel Merida Aguilar (-1.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+1.5)" at a 100% probability, up over the last 50m (+50 point change).

Volume (24h)
$736
Total volume
$736
Liquidity
$2.5K
All-time range
50% – 100%
Our history
13 hours
Resolves
8d

How this resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Sebastian Baez in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:15AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Daniel Merida Aguilar" if Daniel Merida Aguilar wins by 2 or more sets than Sebastian Baez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sebastian Baez."
If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Daniel Merida Aguilar can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Sebastian Baez."
If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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