Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?" at a 67% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (0 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $0
- Total volume
- $21.1K
- Liquidity
- $0
- Open interest
- $4.1K
- All-time range
- 66% – 67%
- Our history
- 8 days
- Resolves
- 283mo
How this resolves
If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.