Kalshi

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Dec 31, 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2027

56%chance

▼ 33.0pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Dec 31, 2027?" at a 56% probability, down over the last 23h (-33 point change).

Volume (24h): $0
Total volume: $559
Liquidity: $0
All-time range: 0% – 99%
Our history: 9 days
Resolves: 15mo

How this resolves

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.24% on Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Trade on Kalshi ↗ Compare

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 56% now. Pick the number you care about.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

<iframe src="https://meleemarkets.com/embed.php?m=9890" width="340" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:16px;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Live odds: Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Dec 31, 2027?"></iframe>

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

View all

Polymarket

Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?

Vol $698.5K today · $5.9M total

100% – 0.0pt

Polymarket

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 17?

Vol $34.8K today · $35.7K total

0% – 0.0pt

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Dec 31, 2027?

How this resolves

What do you think?

More Other markets