Kalshi

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.74% on Dec 31, 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2027

9%chance

▼ 81.0pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.74% on Dec 31, 2027?" at a 9% probability, down over the last 23h (-81 point change).

Volume (24h): $512
Total volume: $825
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $60
All-time range: 0% – 90%
Our history: 8 days
Resolves: 15mo

How this resolves

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.74% on Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.74% on Dec 31, 2027?

How this resolves

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