Kalshi

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 2.49% on Dec 31, 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2027

64%chance

▲ 1.5pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 2.49% on Dec 31, 2027?" at a 64% probability, up over the last 23h (+1.5 point change).

Volume (24h): $448
Total volume: $4.3K
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $223
All-time range: 51% – 92%
Our history: 11 days
Resolves: 15mo

How this resolves

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 2.49% on Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 2.49% on Dec 31, 2027?

How this resolves

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