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Kalshi Economy

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2028 be above 3.5%?

Resolves Feb 1, 2029

27%chance
– 0.5pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 17

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2028 be above 3.5%?" at a 27% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (+0.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$904
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$419
All-time range
26% – 27%
Our history
8 days
Resolves
28mo

How this resolves

If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2028 is above 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

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