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Kalshi Economy

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 9.0%?

Resolves Jan 5, 2029

9%chance
– 0.0pt over 2d
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 19

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 9.0%?" at a 9% probability, roughly flat over the last 2d (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$902
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$900
Our history
10 days
Resolves
27mo

How this resolves

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 9.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

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