MeleeMarkets Live
Kalshi Economy

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 10.0%?

Resolves Jan 5, 2029

7%chance
– 0.0pt over 2d
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 19

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 10.0%?" at a 7% probability, roughly flat over the last 2d (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$502
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$500
Our history
10 days
Resolves
27mo

How this resolves

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 10.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Trade on Kalshi ↗ Compare
Alert me when the odds move

It is at 7% now. Pick the number you care about.

%
Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

View all
Polymarket Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Vol $1.3M today · $8.9M total · resolves in 9d
0% – 0.1pt
Polymarket Economy
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Vol $810.7K today · $14.3M total · resolves in 9d
85% ▼ 2.0pt