MeleeMarkets Live
Kalshi Economy

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 8.5%?

Resolves Jan 7, 2028

4%chance
▼ 1.0pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 17

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 8.5%?" at a 4% probability, down over the last 23h (-1 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$500
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$500
All-time range
4% – 5%
Our history
8 days
Resolves
15mo

How this resolves

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 is above 8.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 4% now. Pick the number you care about.

%
Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

View all