Kalshi

Will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000 before Dec 31, 2029?

Resolves Dec 31, 2029

65%chance

▲ 65.0pt over 2d

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000 before Dec 31, 2029?" at a 65% probability, up over the last 2d (+65 point change).

Volume (24h): $150
Total volume: $150
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $150
All-time range: 0% – 65%
Our history: 10 days
Resolves: 39mo

How this resolves

If the value of the S&P 500 Index is above $10,000 at any point after Issuance and before Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Trade on Kalshi ↗ Compare

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 65% now. Pick the number you care about.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

<iframe src="https://meleemarkets.com/embed.php?m=5716" width="340" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:16px;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Live odds: Will the S&amp;P 500 Index be above $10,000 before Dec 31, 2029?"></iframe>

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

View all

Polymarket

Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?

Vol $444.4K today · $6.8M total

100% – 0.0pt

Polymarket

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?

Vol $49.1K today · $106.1K total

1% ▼ 51.1pt

Will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000 before Dec 31, 2029?

How this resolves

What do you think?

More Other markets