Kalshi

Will P vs NP be resolved before 2030?

Resolves Jan 7, 2030

23%chance

– 0.0pt over 37h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will P vs NP be resolved before 2030?" at a 23% probability, roughly flat over the last 37h (0 point change).

Volume (24h): $45
Total volume: $503
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $298
All-time range: 23% – 41%
Our history: 17 days
Resolves: 39mo

How this resolves

If P versus NP Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2030 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Will P vs NP be resolved before 2030?

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