Kalshi

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

Resolves Jan 1, 2040

9%chance

– 0.5pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?" at a 9% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (+0.5 point change).

Volume (24h): $50
Total volume: $209.4K
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $52.8K
All-time range: 5% – 19%
Our history: 9 days
Resolves: 161mo

How this resolves

If OpenAI confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

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