Kalshi

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Resolves Jan 1, 2031

57%chance

– 0.0pt over 29h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?" at a 57% probability, roughly flat over the last 29h (0 point change).

Volume (24h): $708
Total volume: $86.1K
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $33.7K
All-time range: 56% – 58%
Our history: 9 days
Resolves: 51mo

How this resolves

If United States is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

How this resolves

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