Kalshi Economy

Will government spending decrease by $250 billion before 2028?

Resolves Mar 31, 2029

4%chance

– 0.1pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will government spending decrease by $250 billion before 2028?" at a 4% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (-0.1 point change).

Volume (24h): $0
Total volume: $36.1K
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $22.5K
All-time range: 4% – 13%
Our history: 9 days
Resolves: 30mo

How this resolves

If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $250 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Will government spending decrease by $250 billion before 2028?

How this resolves

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