Kalshi Economy

Will Trump bring back manufacturing?

Resolves Jun 30, 2029

21%chance

▲ 1.4pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Trump bring back manufacturing?" at a 21% probability, up over the last 23h (+1.4 point change).

Volume (24h): $131
Total volume: $26.7K
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $12K
All-time range: 17% – 22%
Our history: 9 days
Resolves: 33mo

How this resolves

If the value added by Manufacturing to GDP in Q4 2028 is at least 13.1% (the value it was in Q1 2005), then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Trade on Kalshi ↗ Compare

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 21% now. Pick the number you care about.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

<iframe src="https://meleemarkets.com/embed.php?m=6451" width="340" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:16px;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Live odds: Will Trump bring back manufacturing?"></iframe>

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

View all

Polymarket Economy

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Vol $167.1K today · $10.2M total · resolves in 11d

14% ▲ +1.0pt

Polymarket Economy

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Vol $159.5K today · $6.2M total · resolves in 11d

0% – 0.0pt

Will Trump bring back manufacturing?

How this resolves

What do you think?

More Economy markets