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Kalshi Economy

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.75%?

Resolves Jan 1, 2037

37%chance
▲ 5.5pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 28

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.75%?" at a 37% probability, up over the last 23h (+5.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$985
Total volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$45
All-time range
30% – 50%
Our history
19 days
Resolves
124mo

How this resolves

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

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