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Kalshi Economy

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.00%?

Resolves Jan 1, 2037

58%chance
▲ 1.0pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 27

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.00%?" at a 58% probability, up over the last 23h (+1 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$837
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$47
All-time range
44% – 63%
Our history
18 days
Resolves
124mo

How this resolves

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

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