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Kalshi Economy

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.50%?

Resolves Jan 1, 2037

64%chance
▲ 3.0pt over 36h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 27

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.50%?" at a 64% probability, up over the last 36h (+3 point change).

Volume (24h)
$501
Total volume
$549
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$18
All-time range
47% – 65%
Our history
18 days
Resolves
124mo

How this resolves

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 2.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 64% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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