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Kalshi Economy

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.00%?

Resolves Jan 1, 2037

65%chance
▲ 3.0pt over 46h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 26

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.00%?" at a 65% probability, up over the last 46h (+3 point change).

Volume (24h)
$158
Total volume
$834
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$46
All-time range
62% – 72%
Our history
17 days
Resolves
124mo

How this resolves

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 2.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

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