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Kalshi Economy

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.00%?

Resolves Jan 1, 2034

82%chance
– 0.5pt over 45h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 19

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.00%?" at a 82% probability, roughly flat over the last 45h (+0.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$790
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$637
All-time range
82% – 82%
Our history
10 days
Resolves
88mo

How this resolves

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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