Kalshi
Economy
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 4.25%?
78%chance
▲ 18.5pt
Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 4.25%?" at a 78% probability, up over the last 23h (+18.5 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $653
- Total volume
- $16.7K
- Liquidity
- $0
- Open interest
- $6.7K
- All-time range
- 41% – 78%
- Our history
- 8 days
- Resolves
- 15mo
How this resolves
If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.