Kalshi Economy

Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2028?

Resolves Jan 1, 2029

88%chance

▲ 3.5pt over 2d

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2028?" at a 88% probability, up over the last 2d (+3.5 point change).

Volume (24h): $0
Total volume: $700
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $700
All-time range: 77% – 89%
Our history: 10 days
Resolves: 27mo

How this resolves

If the Federal Open Market Committee announces a reduction in the target range for the federal funds rate at least once after market Issuance and on or before December 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Polymarket Economy

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Vol $1.3M today · $8.9M total · resolves in 9d

0% – 0.1pt

Polymarket Economy

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Vol $812.2K today · $14.3M total · resolves in 9d

85% ▼ 2.0pt

Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2028?

How this resolves

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