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Kalshi

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2027?

Resolves Jan 7, 2027

13%chance
▼ 1.5pt over 2d
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 19

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2027?" at a 13% probability, down over the last 2d (-1.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$980
All-time range
9% – 14%
Our history
10 days
Resolves
80d

How this resolves

If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2027 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 13% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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