Kalshi

Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?

Resolves Dec 31, 2029

30%chance

▲ 1.0pt over 24h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?" at a 30% probability, up over the last 24h (+1 point change).

Volume (24h): $14
Total volume: $416
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $199
All-time range: 16% – 47%
Our history: 16 days
Resolves: 39mo

How this resolves

If an AI lab based in China has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?

How this resolves

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