MeleeMarkets Live
Kalshi

What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?

Resolves Jan 1, 2029

54%chance
▼ 1.5pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 17

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?" at a 54% probability, down over the last 23h (-1.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$3
Total volume
$43.9K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$10K
All-time range
45% – 56%
Our history
8 days
Resolves
27mo

How this resolves

If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 5000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 54% now. Pick the number you care about.

%
Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

View all