MeleeMarkets Live
Kalshi

Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Dec 1, 2026?

Resolves Dec 1, 2026

10%chance
▲ 9.5pt over 35h
0%50%100%Nov 7Nov 9

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Dec 1, 2026?" at a 10% probability, up over the last 35h (+9.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$165
Total volume
$806
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$628
All-time range
0% – 50%
Our history
45 hours
Resolves
22d

How this resolves

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 10% now. Pick the number you care about.

%
Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

View all