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Polymarket vs. Kalshi

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See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.

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Kalshi

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?

34% ▲ +1.0pt

Vol $1 today · $46.1K total

Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.