Polymarket vs. Kalshi
Compare markets
See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.
Possibly the same event, on the other platform
Polymarket
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
4%
Polymarket
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
66%
Polymarket
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
17%
Polymarket
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
0%
Polymarket
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
3%
Polymarket
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
0%
Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.