Polymarket vs. Kalshi
Compare markets
See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.
Possibly the same event, on the other platform
Kalshi
Will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO before Jan 1, 2027?
19%
Kalshi
Will Jensen Huang be the world's second trillionaire?
9%
Kalshi
Will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO before Jul 1, 2027?
27%
Kalshi
Will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO before Jan 1, 2028?
40%
Kalshi
Will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO before Jan 1, 2029?
48%
Kalshi
Will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO before Jan 1, 2033?
52%
Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.