Polymarket vs. Kalshi
Compare markets
See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.
Change ×
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their January 2028 meeting?
11%
▼ 2.5pt
Vol $0 today · $2.5K total
Possibly the same event, on the other platform
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
38%
Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
58%
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
1%
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
1%
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
1%
Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
87%
Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.