Polymarket vs. Kalshi
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See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.
Change ×
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2028 meeting?
63%
▲ +3.0pt
Vol $0 today · $1.6K total
Possibly the same event, on the other platform
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
14%
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0%
Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
87%
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
1%
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0%
Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
22%
Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.