Polymarket vs. Kalshi
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See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.
Erling Haaland wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season?
Vol $0 today · $0 total
Both markets price this about the same, around 0%. They resolve on different dates (Jan 7 vs Jan 1), so they may not be exactly the same bet.
History starts when we first saw each market, so a newly added market has a short line.
| Kalshi | Polymarket | |
|---|---|---|
| Probability (Yes) | 0% | 0% |
| Change (24h) | +0.0 pt | +0.0 pt |
| Volume today | $0 | $27.5K |
| Total volume | $0 | $2.9M |
| Liquidity | — | $452K |
| Open interest | — | — |
| Resolves | 15mo | 75d |
| Tracked for | 4 days | 9 days |
Resolution rules: read both before trusting a gap
Kalshi
If Erling Haaland wins Professional Footballers' Association (PFA) Men's Players' Player of the Year (Premier League) for 2026-2027 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
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Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.