Polymarket vs. Kalshi
Compare markets
See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.
Erling Haaland wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season?
Vol $0 today · $0 total
Both markets price this about the same, around 0%. They resolve on different dates (Jan 1 vs Jan 7), so they may not be exactly the same bet.
History starts when we first saw each market, so a newly added market has a short line.
| Polymarket | Kalshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Probability (Yes) | 0% | 0% |
| Change (24h) | +0.0 pt | +0.0 pt |
| Volume today | $27.5K | $0 |
| Total volume | $2.9M | $0 |
| Liquidity | $452K | — |
| Open interest | — | — |
| Resolves | 75d | 15mo |
| Tracked for | 9 days | 4 days |
Resolution rules: read both before trusting a gap
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Kalshi
If Erling Haaland wins Professional Footballers' Association (PFA) Men's Players' Player of the Year (Premier League) for 2026-2027 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Share this comparison
Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.