Polymarket vs. Kalshi
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See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.
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Will Adria Arjona perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
5%
– 0.5pt
Vol $0 today · $520 total
Possibly the same event, on the other platform
Polymarket
Theo James announced as next James Bond?
1%
Polymarket
James Norton announced as next James Bond?
0%
Polymarket
Nicholas Hoult announced as next James Bond?
1%
Polymarket
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
25%
Polymarket
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
40%
Polymarket
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?
15%
Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.