Polymarket vs. Kalshi
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See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.
Will the Republican Party win the 2028 Utah Senate District 16 election?
Vol $0 today · $0 total
Kalshi is 46 points higher than Polymarket (57% vs 12%). They resolve on different dates (Nov 8 vs Nov 7), so they may not be exactly the same bet.
History starts when we first saw each market, so a newly added market has a short line.
| Polymarket | Kalshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Probability (Yes) | 12% | 57% |
| Change (24h) | +0.0 pt | +0.0 pt |
| Volume today | $0 | $0 |
| Total volume | $0 | $0 |
| Liquidity | $7.3K | — |
| Open interest | — | — |
| Resolves | 13h | 37mo |
| Tracked for | 7 hours | 7 days |
Resolution rules: read both before trusting a gap
Polymarket
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for November 7 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Utah State" if Utah State win the game by 17 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Fresno State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
If the Republican Party wins the 2028 general election for Utah Senate District 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.