Polymarket vs. Kalshi
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See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.
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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?
12%
– 0.4pt
Vol $3.7K today · $23.9K total
Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.