Polymarket vs. Kalshi
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See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India
Vol $446.9K today · $463.5K total
Kalshi is 28 points higher than Polymarket (29% vs 0%). Polymarket trades about 20445.6× more volume today, so its price has more money behind it. They resolve on different dates (Nov 3 vs Jan 30), so they may not be exactly the same bet.
History starts when we first saw each market, so a newly added market has a short line.
| Polymarket | Kalshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Probability (Yes) | 0% | 29% |
| Change (24h) | -31.5 pt | -1.5 pt |
| Volume today | $446.9K | $22 |
| Total volume | $463.5K | $493 |
| Liquidity | $82.6K | — |
| Open interest | — | $22 |
| Resolves | 5d | 15mo |
| Tracked for | 37 hours | 5 days |
Resolution rules: read both before trusting a gap
Polymarket
This market refers to the cricket match between New Zealand and India scheduled for October 27 2026 at 3:00 AM ET in India Tour of New Zealand T20s. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Kalshi
If New Zealand achieves qualification in the Men's Cricket competition before 2028 for the Los Angeles 2028 Olympic Games, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.