Polymarket vs. Kalshi
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See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.
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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?
0%
– 0.1pt
Vol $25.9K today · $28.1K total
Possibly the same event, on the other platform
Kalshi
Will Missão win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
6%
Kalshi
Will Republicanos win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
23%
Kalshi
Will PSB win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
8%
Kalshi
Will NOVO win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
3%
Kalshi
Will PSD win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
5%
Kalshi
Will PL win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
24%
Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.