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Polymarket vs. Kalshi

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See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.

8 point gap — Polymarket says 0%, Kalshi says 8%.
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Polymarket Politics

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?

0% – 0.1pt

Vol $8.1K today · $259.3K total

Change ×
Kalshi Politics

Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 1, 2027?

8% ▼ 6.4pt

Vol $264 today · $140.7K total

Kalshi is 8 points higher than Polymarket (8% vs 0%). Polymarket trades about 30.7× more volume today, so its price has more money behind it.

PolymarketKalshi
0%6%13%19%25%Oct 9Oct 24

History starts when we first saw each market, so a newly added market has a short line.

PolymarketKalshi
Probability (Yes)0%8%
Change (24h)-0.1 pt-6.4 pt
Volume today$8.1K$264
Total volume$259.3K$140.7K
Liquidity$70.5K—
Open interest—$50.3K
Resolves69d69d
Tracked for2 days15 days
Resolution rules: read both before trusting a gap

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Kalshi

If Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet (including phone calls) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.