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Polymarket vs. Kalshi

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See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.

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Polymarket Politics

France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?

3% – 0.5pt

Vol $34.3K today · $71.9K total

Possibly the same event, on the other platform

Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.